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2024 Week 5 12-team College Football Playoff Prediction

After an extremely eventful week five of the college football season, let's look at how the College Football Playoff field is shaping up.

By Matthew Conner

Georgia v Alabama
Georgia v Alabama / Kevin C. Cox/GettyImages
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Week five of the college football season was exciting and it delivered some important results as it pertains to the College Football Playoff. While no contenders were eliminated because of what happened this past weekend, there were a number of teams that made massive statements.

Of course, the week's marquee game, Georgia at Alabama, lived up to the billing. After jumping out to a 28-0 lead, Bama had to get a brilliant 75-yard touchdown reception from freshman Ryan Williams in the final minutes to secure a 41-34 win. As a result, the Crimson Tide leapfrogs the Bulldogs in this week's playoff projection.

Meanwhile, Ohio State, Texas, Oregon, and Penn State all made their own statements by securing convincing wins over teams that they were expected to beat. Also, No. 25 Boise State bolstered its playoff chances by beating a previously unbeaten Washington State team 45-24.

On the other side of the coin, some contenders made statements by losing to or escaping against inferior opponents. Ole Miss lost to Kentucky, Utah was thoroughly dominated by Arizona, and Miami had a controversial last-play win over Virginia Tech at home. What's more, all three of those games were home games for the playoff con

So let's look at how the playoff field might shake out if the playoff were to begin this week. And as you'll notice, there are a lot of changes to our projection.

Rank

Team

Bid

Previous Rank

1

Alabama

SEC Champ

6

2

Ohio State

Big Ten Champ

2

3

Clemson

ACC Cham

N/A

4

Iowa State

Big 12 Champ

N/A

5

Texas

At-large

5

6

Tennessee

At-large

7

7

Georgia

At-large

1

8

Penn State

At-large

9

9

Oregon

At-large

11

10

Miami

At-large

3

11

Missouri

At-large

10

12

Boise State

MWC Champ

12

Alabama's win over Georgia is the best win any team has had this year so they sit atop the rankings. What's more, Clemson's impressive run since losing to Georgia in week one has them as our new ACC favorite, especially considering that the Miami Hurricanes could have easily lost to unranked Virginia Tech if one replay had gone a different way.

Meanwhile, Utah is no longer our Big 12 favorite after their 13-point home loss to Arizona and they drop out of the projection. That could change when they get starting QB Cam Rising back but until now, Iowa State looks like the best all-around team in the conference.

This coming week, there is only one matchup of ranked teams, Missouri at Texas A&M. Thus, there might not be as many shakeups in next week's projections. However, we never know when there will be an upset so check in next week to see what the playoff field might look like.

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