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2024 Week 7 12-team College Football Playoff Prediction

On the heels of the most highly anticipated weekend of the season, let's look at our latest College Football Playoff projection.

By Matthew Conner

Ohio State v Oregon
Ohio State v Oregon / Ali Gradischer/GettyImages
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October 12 was a day that the entire college football fandom had been looking forward to and fortunately, the schedule delivered a knockout slate of games. With several marquee programs squaring off in week seven, the landscape of the sport and our college football projections were altered dramatically.

One of the biggest games was Oregon's 32-31 win over No. 2 Ohio State (which previously topped our playoff projection). Now Oregon moves into the No. 1 spot this week. It is the first time the Ducks have been in the No. 1 position. Now, it seems like they should be expected to run the table in the regular season given that they have no teams currently in the top 20 left on the schedule.

So with that said, let's take a look at our projection for week seven.

Rank

Team

Bid

Previous Rank

1

Oregon

Big Ten Champ

6

2

Texas

SEC Champ

2

3

Clemson

ACC Champ

3

4

Iowa State

Big 12 Champ

4

5

Penn State

At-large

5

6

Ohio State

At-large

1

7

Alabama

At-large

8

8

Miami

At-large

7

9

Georgia

At-large

9

10

Notre Dame

At-large

10

11

Tennessee

At-large

11

12

Boise State

MWC Champ

12

Interestingly, no new teams jumped into this week's projection. A few teams such as Texas A&M, BYU, Kansas State, LSU, and UNLV are on the bubble and looking to join the party if one of the teams in the field struggles.

However, a number of teams in the field have moved spots. Ohio State's loss to Oregon dropped the Buckeyes to No. 6 making them the second team that would not earn a bye in the first round of the playoff.

Alabama jumped Miami because the Crimson Tide racked up another S.E.C. win. Though it was an unimpressive 27-25 home win over unranked South Carolina, the victory was another important data point in Alabama's favor. What's more, Miami can't say anything about being behind a team that just survived a scare from an underdog given how their last two wins have essentially come about by virtue of controversial calls that went their way in one-score wins over unranked teams.

Also of interest in Penn State. Their OT win at USC keeps them at No. 5 in the projection meaning they would be the highest-ranked team to have to play in the first round. However, if Oregon slips up, the Nittany Lions could become the favorites to win the Big Ten.

This week brings some intriguing matchups for teams in our projection. Miami has to travel to Louisville, Alabama will be at Tennessee, and Georgia will be at Texas. Thus it should be another intriguing week when it comes to projecting the playoff field.

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