Winners of four of five, the 18-3 #19 USC Trojans take on the 6-12 Arizona State Sun Devils tonight at 8:00 PM PST. WynnBET has the Trojans as 5.5-point favorites and -245 on the moneyline (bet $24.50 to win $10) while the over/under is 135.
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Here's how we're betting tonight's game:
USC vs Arizona State Prediction
I'll take "Lines that don't make sense" for $500, Alex. These teams played just over a week ago, USC was favored by 12 and won by 22. Now the spread is just 5.5? Huh!?
The Trojans are 5-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last six road games behind the 37th-best adjusted offensive efficiency in the country and the 2nd-best 2-point defense. They boast the 24th-highest offensive rebounding rate in the country while the Sun Devils are 295th in defensive rebounding. Even if USC has a poor shooting night, they'll have enough second-chance opportunities that it won't matter.
Arizona State is terrible offensively. They're 312th in 2-point shooting percentage and 342nd in 3-point shooting, helping the under go 14-4 on their games this season and a perfect 8-0 when the Sun Devils are at home.
We're getting value on both the Trojans and the under tonight. Give me USC -5.5 (-110) and the under 135 (-110) as the Trojans' defense smothers Arizona State and they complete the season sweep.
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